Frédéric Grare is the
Director of the Centre de Sciences Humaines, New Delhi. His recent
publications include India and ASEAN: the Politics of India’s Look
East Policy (co-edited with Amitabh Matto), India’s Energy:
Essays on Sustainable Development (co-edited with P. R. Shukla and
Pierre Audinet), Islamism and Security: Political Islam and Western
World, and Tajikistan: The Trials of Independence
(co-authored with Shirin Akiner and Mohammad-Reza Djalili).
The book under review investigates the
motives of Pakistan’s Afghan policy in the structure of the South
Asian security paradigm. Heavily documented, the book is divided into
five chapters, each of which asks a specific question, the most
important of them being whether or not Pakistan could have signed a
peace agreement a couple of years earlier than it actually did. Grare
questions whether Pakistani decision-makers deliberately prolonged the
war to ensure the flow of economic and military assistance the country
was receiving as a “frontline state”.
The author is of the view that Pakistan saw
itself as a vulnerable state, threatened by “vexatious” neighbours on
its eastern and western borders. He analyses the role played by
Pakistan in the perspective of the security dilemmas imposed on it by
its geo-strategic location. The author explores Pak–Afghan relations
in the historical perspective, focusing on the Pushtun (Grare’s
spelling) issue and Afganistan’s demand for the creation of
Pushtunistan, a country which, according to the Afghans, stretched
from “the Oxus to the Abasin”. He briefly reviews the historical
legacy of the “Great Game” and Afghanistan’s role as buffer zone,
separating the Russian and British empires. (This idea was put forward
in 1942 by Nicholas Spykman; he was the proponent of the “Heartland
Theory”, according to which he demarcated coastal areas or buffer
zones, which he termed as the key to controlling the world.)
While Grare places the Pushtunistan problem
at the heart of Pakistan–Afghan relations, he chooses to make common
animosity towards India the basis of the friendship between Pakistan
and China. This is only partly correct, as other factors contributed
towards Pak–Sino friendship: China’s desire to play an active role in
regional and international politics, Pakistan’s policy of
diversification of dependency, and common territorial and political
interests.
Grare highlights the security dilemmas of Pakistan after
the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan. Pakistan moved “from a cautious
condemnation” of the invasion to an offensive strategy, especially
after US involvement, which changed the dimension of the conflict from
regional to international. He grudgingly admits that the revolt
against the communist government in Afghanistan was not instigated by
Pakistan. “It was spawned by the actions of the communist government
in Kabul which strung the rope with which to hang itself.” He projects
the hypothesis that communist rule destroyed the social structure of
Afghanistan, mainly through their reform policies: land reform,
literacy and making the state a stronger player in internal matters.
He feels that the changing of the national flag from the traditionally
green Islamic one to the red of the Russians was the “biggest mistake”
of the Afghan communist leaders.
With the influx of refugees into its territory (2,375,000
of them by the end of 1980), Pakistan began to receive aid from United
Nations agencies and also bilaterally from the international
community. This was at a time when Pakistan had few friends in the
global scenario. The Afghan resistance movement became an integral
part of Pakistan policies: “To start with, it evolved a strategy
articulated on two areas of action. It tried to put an end to its
isolation by embarking on active multilateral diplomacy, and it
negotiated the acquisition of some economic and military assistance
from a number of its allies.”
The arguments given by the author to explain Pakistan’s
involvement in Afghan affairs are interesting. According to Grare,
Pakistan had two policy options: to support the Soviet invasion–in
which case it would have Russian-allied neighbours on its eastern and
western borders–or to give all-out support to the Afghan resistance.
It opted, however, for a third path: Pakistan expressed “grave
concern” at the Russian invasion and tried to gain support in the
Non-Aligned Movement, the Organization of Islamic Conference and in
the UN General Assembly. Thus, it succeeded in internationalizing the
situation. US President, Jimmy Carter, said of the Soviet invasion:
“It is clear that the entire subcontinent of Asia, and specifically
Pakistan is threatened.” But it was during the Reagan presidency that
substantial aid, both military and economic, was given to Pakistan.
The arms obtained under the agreement were, according to the author,
far in excess of the danger of the Afghan threat, but the success
really lay in Pakistan conserving its status as a “frontline state”.
Grare states that Ziaul Haq “legitimised” his coup, which
overthrew Zulfiqar Ali Bhutto, on the basis of establishing
“Nizam-i-Mustafa” (system of the Prophet [PBUH]). He took advantage of
the opposition of the Islamists to the Kabul–Delhi axis, in the hope
that it would also provide support to Pakistan’s stand on Kashmir. The
author also holds that the ISI (Inter-Services Intelligence) in
Pakistan was the sole conduit of arms to the resistance, giving that
institution the ability “to keep the intensity of the conflict at the
desired level.”
As mentioned earlier, the most important question in the
author’s mind is whether Pakistan had the option of signing a peace
accord with USSR between 1983 and 1985. The details and critical
analysis of the negotiation process, its obstacles and constraints are
thought-provoking. Many previously obscured facts are disclosed, but
they are yet to be authenticated through neutral and credible
resources. At times, Grare appears to analyse Pakistan foreign policy
from an Indian perspective, undermining the objectivity of the work.
Perhaps because it has been translated from the original French, the
book is not always easily comprehensible, but it does thoroughly
investigate the interests of the protagonists in the conflict and the
reason it was (in Grare’s view) unnecessarily prolonged.
Asma Shakir Khawaja
Assistant Research Officer, IPRI